Go Daddy Signup

Showing posts with label JNJ. Show all posts
Showing posts with label JNJ. Show all posts

June 20, 2017

Fed meeting, gold, tech stocks and where we are headed


Fed Meeting - Fed stance, Gold and Where markets are headed


So the Fed meeting was over last week and they raised the rates by 0.25bp. In addition, indicated that they need to start winding down their balance sheet. Whoa!! Is Grandma Yellen and the Fed waking up to the scenario that they are the primary cause of the bubble - well surprise, surprise - they and all Central banks have co-ordinated this massive bubble and they have no idea how to truly unwind it. Stocks are trading at ridiculous valuations and at levels above the 2007 peak. The 1999-2000 peak was a real bubble of truly massive proportions - but we are now in an all out massive bubble in all assets except gold (maybe).

Tech stocks are valued at the highest EV/Sales ratio, high PE's and the insiders are cashing out. Does that sound familiar? Right now machines are trading and there we believe will be the catch 22 and the main risk. We can tell via our intraday charts when machines kick into the trades. Right now machines are running the show and there is very little human intervention. In addition, complacency is running at lows and we expect this to stay this way possibly through the summer.

We had predicted that the DOW stocks would hit new highs and many of the big names are hitting new highs. Our prediction of Dow 21500 was met this week and we do not see any reason for now that would not allow it to move higher.

We trade on technicals and these seem to be working very well - as we think the machines are programmed to work on technical signals. This is another reason to use our reports page to identify stocks that meet certain technical criteria.

So which stocks do we like - and how does one protect your portfolio.

Based on our analysis, we are seeing a move into the Dow component stocks and big names. We still like AAPL as it is cheap 0 but we would wait for a nice pullback before taking a position. We like BA, MDT, JNJ, CAT and DE. These are looking strong. 

We would take profits in tech stocks as we thinkthe tech cycle and bubble is over and although we may see signs of a rebound - we would sell into the rallies. There is definite rotation going on and tech is not the place to be at least for the summer or until the IPHONE 8 announcement happens. We are short NVDA and will stay short. We are long puts on NVDA also. 

We believe that the Fed is on a tightening and liquidity draining from the system and this will result in a profit taking in tech stocks as these are overvalued on all key parametrics - except for AAPL. In addition, please keep tight stops at around 8% to 10% or at 5% below 50d SMA depending on your buy price.

Check out our site - we offer AI based trading algorithms with clear buy/sell signals, end of day technical reports which work great to find good stocks to trade or buy.

We do not like gold as the Fed is in tightening mode and draining liquidity.

Good luck trading. 

Check out our site tour youtube video at -