Trucharts.com Markets Blog Update Week ending 11/14/2014
Markets have been vacillating and staying within a very tight range and always moving higher into the close. The VIX gets slammed at the end of the day and the markets bounce back – even though we are seeing narrow breadth and narrow leadership in the stocks driving the markets. We have ramped very fast from the correction in October and the markets appear to be topping out here. Individual stocks have been seeing some movement – but no sector other than the transports stands out. There is no question that this is definitely a trader’s dream come true – stocks move quite nicely and smart traders (day traders and short term traders) are taking advantage of this volatility in the stocks. Take a look at the stocks like Z, AMZN, BIDU, TSLA and many more momo stocks.
Our sentiment indicators are showing that the markets will stay within a tight range and, as we stated in our earlier blogs, markets will not correct into the Thanksgiving holidays. We can expect volatility but no major moves (unless there are black swan events). The GOP is going to take some time off from their victory in the mid-term elections and come back with a fresh agenda in January and let the President take it easy for the holidays.
The move in gold this Friday looks like a BULL trap – be mindful – the trend is still down and the move in the gold miners also was not on convincing volume. We would sell into the gold rally – the move was due to the coming referendum in Switzerland for the repatriation of their gold. We do not expect this to pass, and the day the this does not pass – watch gold – we think it will drop over $100 (just our speculation). We are short AEM and will stay short. Our prediction for gold price is still at least $1000.
Our IBB short is still in play and we expect the BIOTECH unwinding to start – it started on Friday. Mutual Funds will start to take profits in this sector and will try to show good performance into the end of the year.
The China stock market is coming off a bottom and since the link with the Hong Kong stock exchange, the China ADRs have been moving up quite well. Surprisingly, we missed BIDU but we have been long JRJC (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=JRJC) and are looking for stocks in the China ADRs for good buy candidates – we like WUBA – here is the chart – check the weekly and daily chart – (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=WUBA). Check the weekly technicals:
Here is the chart for reference:
We have a special offer for the holidays on our yearly subscription – 50% discount – check this at the following link:
The following is the list of stocks we will be watching this week:
CYBR, WIFI, TWTR.
We are long CYBR. We closed our USO position at a loss - we were stopped out of the position. Always remember capital preservation is key.
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