Trucharts Blog Stock Charts Free - Week ending - 1/16/2015

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 1/16/2015. 

Happy MLK day - markets were closed today - but what a closing on Friday almost 8:2 advancers vs decliners on NYSE and NASDAQ - we suspect short covering rally and short term oversold conditions - but technically the markets look weak and we had a 13d SMA crossing the 50dSMA for the indices - we expect a bounce to the 50d SMA - we had a strong close and gold moving higher, along with oil. And then we had the Dutch cut their interest rates to -ve. SO we pay the banks money to hold cash - think about that for a second - you pay the bank to hold your money - wow!! Then there is the expectation that the ECB will unleash another round of QE - when are the idiots in the Eurozone get it through their thick skulls - QE does nothing in a heavily taxed and socialistic government structure - reduce taxes and act like Ronald Reagan and let's see what happens - really dumb people lining their pockets. So stupid.

Today China reported the GDP number - 7.4% and then yesterday the markets in China got crushed as China pricked the stock bubble by regulating margin accounts which were non-compliant to the capital requirements. Now everyone expects China to unleash another round of stimulus. The whole world and asset prices are now running on steroids - that is what I call QE and all these stimulus injections into the economy - eventually these will hurt and the central banks are scared shit. Gold is the real currency and there is now a currency war in play an oil glut and stocks/real estate in bubbles everywhere. We never seem to learn from our mistakes.

This will be the start of the earnings barrage week - check the earnings calendar on our site at: http://www.trucharts.com/EarningsView.aspx

We closed our ALTR calls last week - our call on ALTR short was correct.

DAL - we sold puts for Jan 30 for 44 strike - we are still short DA and the 44 puts, GM and F.

Our GM call spread for 34.5 and 36.5 expired worthless. Our stock K is doing well and we are long WSM, TWTR, CYBR, USO and ANV. We still like gold here because it broke through resistance and the Chinese New Year is in February.

Here are some good picks for the coming week -

XLU (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=XLU); Other stocks (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SO) - the utility stocks look good in this falling interest rate environment. Our call on HELE was good - still looks strong.

Chart of GRMN here below - looks good technically for a short term trade:

What a day!!! - closing remarks 1/13/2014

Well it sure felt like Friday the 13th today. Markets were up and then pulled back completely. We think it was a bull trap and people are very concerned about the upcoming earnings reports and forward guidance. With oil dropping and the commodity sector (at least for now except gold) falling - looks like there maybe some rough riding here. These type of moves happen when there is tug of war between the bears and the bulls. TIF (Tiffany got massacred yesterday) - Crappy stock SNDK got killed - they were getting the benefit of a bull market and we think the semiconductor run maybe over. Please take profits in this sector until the 2nd half of the year comes around. Technically, today was a bearish day - see chart below for DIA and SPY. You will see lower RSI , lower MACD and the DIA/SPY closed 50d SMA. ALmost looks like a bearish wedge pattern.

We think oil has reached the bottom of its range - we will watch it here carefully and try to establish a position in USO.

We hope to see some good results from the retailers - we will keep an eye on that.
We will close our ABBV position tomorrow - should have closed it today.

We are long AMKR,WSM,K,CYBR,USO and LINE. Short GM,F,AEM,DAL,IBB. We always hedge our portfolio with options and not be all long or all short.




Check out our site and you can clearly see our auto buy/sell signals for your stocks.
GPRO and MU were on the sell signal list 4-5 days ago.

Trucharts team

Trucharts.com - Blog and stocks to watch week ending - 01/09/2015

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 01/09/2015 - HELE, TWTR, SCO, USO

What a volatile first trading week of the year. We were negative for the year and then after the huge move up with the VIX above 20 - traders came in drove the market up over 500 points. And then on Friday we had the consolidating pull back. Even stocks like MU which guided lower revenue forecast to the analyst estimates for Q1 rallied after falling sharply. There was expectation that EU zone will unleash a QE and with nterest rates going negative in some of the EU countries - the markets rallied. In addition, we still have the Russian ruble crisis and the oil drop is definitely hurting the Russian economy, and the Venezuelan economy. The talking voices and experts on TV keep telling us that the drop in oil is due to lower demand and supply glut - I call that complete BS. This drop in oil is a politically driven - there is no way oil can drop 50% unless economies around the world are crashing - it is like saying 50% of the cars and oil consumers around the world suddenly stopped driving and the oil supply jumped by 100% - does this this sound reasonable at all. I believe oil will stabilize around 45 and move up to 70 from this very oversold rally - keep an eye on SCO the oil short ETF which is very extended - we woud look to buy puts on this ETF - check out the chart - www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SCO. 

We are long USO, LINE and look to go longer in oil stocks or ETFs. We will wait for the signal. There is too much negative sentiment on oil. Surprisingly - gold and gold stocks and gold ETFs moved up last week - we think this was driven by a run to safety and the falling dollar from the extended move up.

During the rally, Advancers vs Decliners was almost 8:2 on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. Here are the numbers for the A/D and volume from Friday close:

Advances & Declines

	NYSE	AMEX	NASDAQ
Advancing Issues	1,163 (36%)	202 (50%)	913 (33%)
Declining Issues	1,975 (61%)	187 (46%)	1,785 (64%)
Unchanged Issues	92 (3%)	15 (4%)	101 (4%)
Total Issues	3,230	404	2,799
New Highs	152	11	77
New Lows	63	8	54
Up Volume	985,074,941 (29%)	52,720,491 (60%)	606,206,477 (36%)
Down Volume	2,335,614,656 (69%)	32,671,019 (37%)	1,034,281,930 (62%)
Unchanged Volume	49,081,860 (1%)	2,604,305 (3%)	24,354,296 (1%)
Total Volume	3,369,771,4571	87,995,8151	1,664,842,7031

This week is start of earnings week with AA (Aloca reporting tomorrow) - check the earnings calendar on our site at: www.trucharts.com/earningsview.aspx.

Here is an excellent article on the PE and the markets this week:http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-10/permabull-throws-towel-stocks-are-massively-overvalued-key-multiples-are-post-war-re

This article tells us that we are at a critical juncture in the markets - we highly 

recommend taking some profits.

Another article: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-12/this-guy-called-bonds-in-14-you-listening-this-time-.html?cmpid=yhoo

On our stockview page - you can see the earnings date on the top right hand side of the data box for any particular symbol. We closed our YHOO position last week and we have been watching and keeping an eye on the utility stocks. The financial stocks like BAC and others pulled back - we have no positions in these stocks.

Our long positions are AMKR, USO, LINE, WSM, CYBR, K, and TWTR. Our short positions are GM,F,IBB,DAL.

We like the following stocks for next week:

TWTR - we think the rumors of a buyout are driving the stock higher - we went long on Friday - here is the chart: Charts:

  

TWTR stock at Trucharts.com and more

Trucharts.com - TWTR stock

As we indicated yesterday, we went long TWTR today - we think this is headed to 42.

Markets pulled back today - should be expected after such a huge run - we think the retail news from GPS (Gaps) and BBBY (Bed Bath and beyond) was not good - but we will keep an eye out for retail stocks. 

We are short GM, F, IBB, DAL.

We are long TWTR, CYBR, K, USO, LINE, WSM.

Gold stocks were moving higher today.

There is a very interesting divergence going on between gold and oil and the commodity complex - we suspect this maybe due to the currency weakening in the Eastern Block and other countries vs the USD. The junior gold miners are seeing some heavy buying activity - is gold going to go up this year?

Check out our market reports page at: www.trucharts.com/marketreports.aspx - this helped us pick TWTR.

Stocks to watch - Trucharts.com - Update for 1/8/2015:

Stocks to watch - Trucharts.com - Update for 1/8/2015:

Stock Charts Free, Charting and Scans - Trucharts.com: Stocks to watch for 1/9/2015:

Here are our top picks for trading on 1/9/2015: TWTR, AAPL, UNH, FSL

We expect the markets to break its old highs - it is like party of 1999. Election year before 2000 elections - Fed on hold and valuations going through the roof. Just watch what what you buy - looks like consumer staples and retail are looking good. Even the healthcare insurance companies are looking strong. Looks like OIL is bottoming - watch USO, LINE, OIL, shorting SCO. We are long USO and LINE and looking to go long TWTR.

Check this report on our site: http://www.trucharts.com/FilteredStocks.aspx?ConditionId=77990,77991,77992

This is a list of stocks screened for being above $2 today.

Trucharts Team

Trucharts.com Stocks to Watch and markets 1/6/2015

Trucharts.com Stocks to Watch and markets 1/6/2015

Stock Charts Free, Stock Scans at TruCharts.com, Dividend stocks: Closed our ALTR short today and went short F (Ford Motor Co). Expect volatility to stay high and MU revenue forecast was lower than Street Expectations. Take profits in semi-sector now - Biotech breaking down - take profits. We are short GM,F and DAL. Long WSM, AMKR and LINE, CYBR, HMY. Check out our buy/sell signals on our stockview page - www.stockcharts.com/stockview.aspx.

Chart for MU: www.stockcharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=MU

Trucharts.com Weekly blog - stocks to watch week ending 01/02/2015

Trucharts.com Weekly blog week ending 01/02/2015

For SEO: Stock Charts Free, Charting, Stock Market, Technical Analysis, Stock Blog, Stock Buy and Sell Signals.

Happy New Year 2015 to all:

Market Stats:                     DOW 17832.99; S&P500: 2058.20; NASDAQ: 4726.81

	NYSE	Amex	NASDAQ
New Highs	55	5	64
New Lows	23	5	31
Up Volume	1,317,747,081 (49%)	54,149,125 (72%)	640,070,736 (47%)
Down Volume	1,361,184,794 (50%)	18,108,068 (24%)	714,790,713 (52%)
Unchanged Volume	31,963,947 (1%)	2,449,256 (3%)	11,961,935 (1%)
Total Volume	2,710,895,822	74,706,449	1,366,823,384

New Year and new resolutions - I am sure Yellen and the Fed have their resolutions already in place - we think there resolution is keep economy on track and no need to raise rates - the dollar strength and weakening economies around the world will bolster the demand for US $ and US bonds - we do not see the bond bubble imploding (at keast yet). Seeing the oil collapse and the Russian ruble collapse is making the US dollar gain more strength and we suspect the Chinese RMB will get weaker - with the Chinese economy slowing - the Chinese will have no choice but to allow the RMB to weaken and make their exports competitive and with the Chinese economy driven by exports to EU and other nations with weakening currencies and economies - the RMB has to fall further. That is our prediction for 2015 - what does this do to gold - with energy prices down we expect gold to drop also - but we will have to keep an eye on this - gold may also become the currency of choice - a tricky catch 22 situation. Oil drop is, we believe, a political driven drop and maybe mixed in with a hint of over-supply. This is affecting major economies like Russia, Venezuela and other major oil-producing nations. We expect oil to be range bound between $45-$70. We went long USO and LINE this week.  The economies of US states like Texas, Oklahoma, ND will be affected by this drop in oil price - we will have to see the impact.

Fed action - we do not expect any rate hikes this year as we stated earlier.

Stock bubbles and valuations - There is no doubt we are in a stock bubble - the accounting shenanigans, stock buybacks help moved the stock prices and earnings. Many stocks and sectors are trading at above average PEs - with the Fed holding back on raising rates, we expect stocks to possibly rise this year as there are almost no alternatives to make a decent return. Stocks look extended short-term and we expect a pullback here and will have to keep a close eye on the earnings and forward forecasts for Q1. Semi stocks were downgraded last qtr by BofA Merrill Lynch and this a sign that the semi stocks have had a nice long bull run and we would expect a pullback. Keep an eye on the following stocks SWKS, TXN, ALTR, XLXN, SYNA, MXIM, SIMO etc.

VC funding and company valuations are still outrageous and it smells a lot like 1999.

We also expect major dividend cuts from the energy sector stocks - so please keep a close eye on your small to mid-sized oil and energy stocks with current high payout and high dividend payments - these will definitely impact the stocks prices.

Consumer staple stocks and retail stocks are holding up well and we expect the retail sector to show decent earnings. There have not been any major warnings to date - with the gas prices at the pump dropping, we expect that consumers used this opportunity to spend more on gifts etc during this Christmas season.

Utility stocks had a huge run due to the drop in bond yields and we need to keep an eye on these - there was pullback on Friday - but we expect that this sector will still be strong this year unless there is a bond rout.

We added a new feature to our stock site: Multiple stocks charts on one page - check this link: www.trucharts.com/multiplestocks.aspx.

We additionally added Ichimoku cloud and turtle trading system - these are available on the www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx.

We will be publishing the definitions and charts for all the indicators on our site soon.

Check out this stock LINE which we went long for a short term trade: www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=LINE.

Gold miner stocks were up on Friday - keep an eye on GDX, GDXJ.

Trucharts positions: Short GM (due to recall), technically stock extended, ALTR, DAL, IBB, AEM. Long USO, CYBR, WSM, K, HMY, LINE.

Best of luck for 2015 and use our site for auto buy/sell signal strategies and as we keep making improvements, we will keep you posted.

Thanks and please help us spread the word - our subscription price is one of the lowest and best in the industry for the type of information we provide to our users and if you have any ideas for improvements or information you would like us to add, please email our CEO and founder directly at bbhatia@trucharts.com - we look forward to your comments and feedback.

Trucharts Team

Stock to watch - Markets update 12/16/2014

Stock Charts Free/Scans/Stock Screener at Trucharts.com:

We have been saying stay short or exit positions and take profits. We are still short IBB, YHOO and DAL. Long BIS, WSM. We expect gold to go down further. Russia may take drastic action because of the currency plunge.

Check out the charts for the following:

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=REGN

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=DAL

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=BIIB

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=IBB

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=YHOO

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 12/12/2014

Trucharts.com Blog Week ending 12/12/2014

We expected the markets to hit 18000 for the DOW and 2100 for the S&P500. It came close but did not touch these milestones. We stated that the markets were looking extended and that the risk was high - that scenario played itself out this past week. The breakdown in oil and the commodity complex was not surprising. We expect oil to hit between 50 and 55 - that would be more than a 50% correction and we expect some bottoming in that range. The commodity 15 year bull cycle may be coming to an end. Stocks looked extremely extended and one of our sentiment charts was showing that a puulback was imminent. Check out this chart which had predicted prior pullbacks - it is the chart of the stocks below their 50d SMA vs S&P500 - check this chart below:

You can see in the chart above how the trend for the stocks above 50d SMA is trending down even when the market is hitting new highs. This is evident in both the charts for stocks on the NYSE and NASDAQ. It does not appear that this has bottomed. We should keep an eye on this indicator on ur reports page under "Charts" at .

We expect volatility to be up this week and the S&P to touch the 50D SMA at 2000 and we have to see if the buyers jump in. The DIA has it's 50D SMA at 172.4 - we would like to see if this bounces back. The megaphone pattern in the indices is lookign evident - but then we have to wait and watch - if that does play out then the S&P500 has to break below it's previous low on the prior corrction in October. 

Fortunately for our portfolio, we followed our charting buy/sell signal strategies and closed positions in SDRL (down over 50% from our sell price), RIG, USO (all oil related). We stated shorting GM - still looks like a good short - in addition we had shown the chart for FCX as short in our last blog. We are short ALTR, IBB, DAL, YHOO and long BIS, WSM. We have hedged our positions with puts and calls. Although we see opportunity oin shorting AA - we will wait and watch since we are over exposed to shorts currently. 

Good luck trading next week.

Trucharts team 

A good stock to short - Check this

Free Stock Charts/Scans/Stock Screener at Trucharts.com:

Check out this chart for SNDK - we made money on this stock last time. Looks like a great short. MACD down, RSI down and stocks breaking down:

Trucharts team

Trucharts.com - Markets Update and stocks to Watch 12/12

Free Stock Charts/Scans/Stock Screener at Trucharts.com:

Markets down today - check out our published chart for SPY - we stated trend was down and we are seeing that manifested in the markets today. Yesterday was a short squeeze and today we are headed to 2000 on the S&P.

Stocks to watch: ADBE, RH - for coming week.  Short DAL, YHOO, AEM and IBB.

This is what our elected officials are doing in the United States of America - watch out for your future and we elected these folks to represent the common man - unbelievable..

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/congress-moves-one-step-closer-162100123.html

Markets Update 12/10/2014

Markets Update 12/10:

Markets down, oil down, gold down and our short positions are right on the money. We have been saying markets look extended here and the commodity crash will impact the markets. We have been short DAL, YHOO, ALTR, AEM and long BIS, WSM, CYBR. We think the markets will test the 50d moving average. GM still looks like a good short.

Watch this closely - HYG - correlates to market performance and trend.

Trucharts.com Blog and stocks to watch - Week ending 12/5/2014

Trucharts.com - Blog update and Stocks to watch:

Another week and another set of new records and new highs. There is no stopping this train. Excellent jobs report (321K new jobs created). Oil dropped this week and so did the commodities. Energy stocks are getting slammed and so are commodity stocks. We think there maybe an end coming to the commodity cycle - many have indicated that this is typically a 15 year cycle that started in 2000 and will end by 2015. This will impact commodity stocks - so if you have commodity stocks in your portfolio - like FCX, BHP, RIO - be mindful and this end to the commodity cycle may impact the dividends being paid out by the commodity stocks. Another concern recently has been the drop in the oil sector stocks and their issuance of junk bonds to fund their exploration - the main concern is related to the capability of these companies to pay back this debt due to the drop in oil prices (check JNK). Financial stocks are breaking out. We are watching BAC (Bank of America) - here is the chart (weekly) - looks like it is going to breakout (Other stocks to watch in this sector - financial - JPM, XLF, MS, ETFC, AMTD)

Gold is still holding between 1100 - 1200 - watching this closely - we still think this is headed to 1000.

Health stocks and airline stocks were hitting new highs this week along with many tech stocks. AVGO, MCHP, SYNA and SLAB announced better outlooks for the coming quarter. We like the chart of SLAB - here is the chart (check the MACD and RSI):

Right now the trend is your friend and the don't fight the Fed. We will look to go long the financial stocks this week. Keep and eye on the commodity stocks.

We are still heading into the holidays and a strong period of the year for the markets - we would expect some consolidation - but DOW 18K is imminent and as is SP500 hitting 2100. We are short AEM, IBB (hurting right now), YHOO (will likely close this tomorrow and go long BAC). Watching the stocks above and UTX.

Good luck trading.

Trucharts team

Jobs Jobs and more Jobs

Stock Charts - Free and Charting at Trucharts.com: Well what a blowout jobs report - our estimate was 240K and one of the highest estimates and the job reports came in at over 320K. This is good news for the economy but will put pressure on the Fed to raise rates next year. We still do not think this will happen due to the other world economies - but will definitely not spur a QE event. Markets are consolidating here - strong season for markets - we expect new highs. 

Expect stocks to consolidate here.  We will publish a stock to watch list later today.

Today's market stats 12/04

Stock Charts Free, Charting / Predefined Stock Scans at TruCharts.com

Today's market stats 12/04 - Markets closed slightly lower from yesterday's close. There was a dip in the morning and then the markets recovered due to some rumor that QE was to be announced by EU zone. The breadth was negative - more than 2:1 on the NYSE and AMEX and 6:4 on Nasdaq (Decliners vs Gainers). ISEE ratio closed at 92 indicating more puts were being traded. Tomorrow is the big jobs number - we expect around 240K+ - due to holiday hiring. We are still holding all our positions - short AEM, YHOO, DAL, IBB and long WSM, BIS, TWTR.  We went long JRJC today for a short term trade.

Good luck trading 

Stocks to Watch - 12/4/2014

Stocks to watch tomorrow: SLAB, MCHP, CARB, JCOM.

Here is the slab chart - good for short term trade:

Stock Carbonite takeover - updated

Carbonite stock -

Stock Charts Free, Charting / Predefined Stock Scans at TruCharts.com:

We really missed CARB (Carbonite) - we had an instinct that it would be a takeover candidate and today JCOM announced a takeover of Carbonite.  

Check out the JCOM chart here (amazing):

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=JCOM

Stock Charts Free, Charting / Predefined Stock Scans at TruCharts.com:

Very good article : Please read 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hindenburg-omen-cries-bear-market-again-2014-12-03?siteid=yhoof2

Trucharts.com - BUY SIGNAL FOR TGT STOCK - Stock Charts Free

Trucharts.com - BUY SIGNAL FOR TGT STOCK:

Stock Charts Free & Predefined with Stock Scans/Screener at TruCharts.com:  Check out this chart of TGT with our Fast trade Strategy and you can see the buy signal ws generated at around 60-61 and the TGT stock is now at around 72 - a 20% return if you would have used this strategy to buy the stock.

Here is the chart:

Trucharts.com – Weekly blog update and Stocks to Watch week ending 11/21/2014

Weekly Blog Update – Week ending 11/21/2014

Another week and another set of new highs in all the indices – PBOC cutting rates set off a rally in the markets Friday and the world central banks pumping heavy liquidity is driving markets higher.  The US markets are the sole investment for the world investors for the best returns. Stock markets and stocks are trending higher without a hint of any correction or pullback. We stated that the trend was higher going into the holiday season, and we expect that to continue or for the markets to be range bound.  There was a breakout in the S&P500 and the major indices this past week and even though the markets appear over bought – this can last into the New Year.  The pattern on the chart indicates higher highs are coming and there is major complacency in the markets.  But typically we do not expect to see any major issues due to the strong Q4 tendencies.  Certain sectors were sparked due to the PBOC cut – like the commodity sector, machinery sector and the emerging market ETFs.

We are seeing oil bouncing back, and we will short the airline stocks this week for a short term trade.  Gold bounced back last week but the trend is still down.  We will be watching the gold and oil sector this week. Some of the ETFs we mentioned OIL and USO are coming off lows and the energy stocks, which were hammered recently are bouncing back. Keep an eye on these oil sector stocks – NOV, NBR, DO, CVX and many others in the energy complex.

We are long WSM, CYBR, YELP and short AEM, IBB and waiting to short the airlines sector this week.  This will be a short trading week but expect consolidation and range bound markets.  Here are some charts to ponder over this week. You can see clearly the UPRO (long SP500 ETF) is very overbought and the DAL chart is breaking down.

Charts for the week: