Fed Speak - What to do with your portfolio this week and market direction - UP or DOWN!

Fed Speak - What to do with your portfolio this week and market direction - UP or DOWN!

We just went through one of the most volatile weeks in the markets since the dog days of 2008-2009 financial crisis. Is China slowing, what is the Fed going to do and is the world headed into a recession? So many questions and the answers are not very clear. From a volatility perspective, the VIX hit the highest levels on Monday last week when the DOW traversed over 4500 points - this has never happened before - there were huge opportunities to buy at the lows that day and make a huge profit - volatility is truly a trader's gift and an easy way to generate some very quick profits - if you are a technical trader it becomes even easier. You have to make your preferred stock list and watch those only else you will not be able to choose during big market moves, like the one we had last Monday 8/24. We did make money as we were net short into the market and would have really preferred to get into some stocks that tanked at the open - we knew that the  markets would bounce - since it was an oversold condition and markets did rebound into the end of the week - just go check some of the low prices for some of the top stocks on 8/24. Several stocks opened down over 20% and then recovered very nicely. That is why you have to have cash set aside for trading on volatile days - because the returns can be magnificent. 

Markets rebounded over 1000 points on the DOW late into the week and many stocks bounced off the lows - there was short covering and some buying buy the big funds since they saw this as a huge buying opportunity - we saw the fund managers discussing this on TV. Volatility numbers are still high and we would expect volatility this week also. Major trend-lines have been broken and we have to test the trend-lines and the previous support levels (which are now resistance levels) for all the indices.

Fundamentally we do not think the economy or the tech stocks have bottomed - China slowdown and the issues/headwinds they are facing from their bad loans, high debts, exports slowing, over capacity are going to have repercussions around the world. US economy is still strong with the jobs numbers still ahead of the 200K/month magic mark and we think the Fed sees this and is ready to pull the trigger in September. We still suspect whether the Fed will actually raise the Fed Funds rate in Sept. We wil have to wait and see - from our perspective we do not think they have the 'guts' to do it. 

China intervention into their stock markets was one of the worst ideas and then they have been so reactive to every little piece of economic news, that they are acting like a 2 year old's in a candy shop. Lowering RR ratios, cutting interest rates, injecting cash, and so many others drastic measures, it makes one wonder what really is going on in China. 

Is it really that bad!!

There was The Jackson Hole meeting this weekend and the Fischer indicated that the Fed would move towards hiking rates. They know there is a bubble and they are trying to defuse it before it becomes bigger and then they are left with no tools to fight it. We will just have to wait and see with the numerous number of crazy commentary on CNBC and Bloomberg non stop about the Fed's plans. It is getting really ridiculous!!

As we write this futures are down - we expected that heading into Mondays' - typically weak in recent weeks.

Anyway, we expect the markets to consolidate here within a 500 point range - with a topside target of 17000 and low of around 16000. S$P500 to be range bound between 1920 and 2040 range. NASDAQ which was primarily up because of biotech stocks should start seeing some pullback. 

Use this opportunity to lighten up on tech stocks - fundamentally there has been no change in their outlook and forecasts - the trend is down and we expect it to stay that way. With Apple's event coming Sept 9th, we expect that the tech stocks may stay range bound here. We like SLAB for short term trade. We are short AMBA (earnings on Sept 1),SWKS,INTC,PYPL and MU. Our shorts did well for us during this downdraft. We were discussing topping action in the markets and we were ready for it. Long NFLX. We use options to hedge all our positions.

Commodities - oil bounced - expect that to be short lived - we are heading into the slowest season for oil - post summer time. Still some money to be made from short term trading here - check out chart for USO and OIL. Possibly very oversold - should go up for short term. Gold Bounced - we are keeping a close eye on this - as it is tied to the dollar - but with the weaker currencies abroad, we think gold can shine - wait and see.

Here are the charts for DIA daily and weekly - Daily chart shows an oversold condition and weekly is not oversold yet. Watch these carefully along with the VIX. We always trade stocks which have underlying options and are very liquid. We like DIS for short term - looks oversold. Do not like biotech - short IBB.

 

 

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Good luck trading. Stay nimble.

Trucharts Team/Founder/CEO

What will you trade this week? We like these stocks...

Trucharts.com Blog - Updated - week ending - 4/10/2015

What will you trade this week? We like these stocks...

A hectic week and now the earnings train will come to town this week. So many earnings, and we can expect, very likely a lot of surprises and disappointments - we love Wall Street - they have been lowering the earnings estimates and then it is very likely that the company will beat the lowered estimates and everyone looks like a hero - the CEO, the analyst, CNBC and news guys love surprises. Is it going to be a train wreck or a smooth ride - what is the Q2 forecast going to be like - these are the questions we need to think about.

In the background we have the Euro dropping, oil moving higher and gold also. The European markets are ripping and now the experts are predicting if the British pound is going to drop thereby driving British stock market higher - well we are in a currency war now. The Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets are on an exponential move and we had pointed to an article on our twitter post  https://www.twitter.com/trucharts) about how housewives in China are now playing in the Chinese and Hong Kong markets. This is not about to end yet - bubbles do not end abruptly - these end when everyone on the streets, including your barber, is talking about stocks. So, still a ways to go.  

Well let us see our markets - the biotech sector bounced perfectly off its 50d SMA average, as did many of the biotech stocks. The DOW, and SP500 are exhibiting a wedge pattern, which seems to be pointing that the markets may breakout here. The NASDAQ which is primarily being driven by the biotech stocks seems to be forming a right shoulder - check the charts on our home page.

Well what will you trade this week - the tech stocks - the big industrials - check the earnings calendar on our site at: (http://www.trucharts.com/EarningsView.aspx) - additionally, we show the date on the stock charts page as shown below (see red marked box on the right corner):

We are going to close our AEM position and SNDK.

Well what stocks are we going to trade: Here are our picks - be mindful of the earnings dates:

We closed BIDU and TWTR in one account - but here are the charts we like this week:

1. www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=CAT - earnings are on 4/23 - but the chart looks 

    excellent

2. www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=TWTR - earnings are on 4/28 - we like TWTR

3. www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=XOM

4. www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=USO  - ETF - has a good chart

5. www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=LLY

We had picked MYL, TEVA, LLY, ABBV, LO, RAI and M in our last blog and all of these did very well. We still like LLY (watch earnings date).

Check out our best rates for subscribing to our site at - we offer the best feature set on the web: http://www.trucharts.com/truCharts_Services.aspx

Best of luck trading.

Trucharts Team 

Is the Semiconductor stocks run over??

Stock Charts Free at Trucharts.com - Earnings, Real time Stock News and more:

Read this: Means semiconductor stock run is over. We were saying watch AAPL closely - the inclusion of AAPL in the DOW index is bad news - typically the this happens near the top for a stock. Just see MSFT and CSCO and then these crashed after being included in the DOW Index. We think so - just check the stocks we indicated that looked extended - AVGO, NXPI, SWKS.

http://blogs.barrons.com/asiastocks/2015/03/25/tsmc-the-writing-is-on-the-wall-sell-says-maybank/?mod=yahoobarrons&ru=yahoo

Take profits now.

Trucharts.com team

Bought these hot stocks today - Markets Rally today

Market Rally 3/18/2018 - Thanks Ms Yellen - Greatly appreciated 

CORRECTED LINKS..IN THIS UDPATE..

Well today's Fed output (scientific term) was all but nonsense and as expected - the markets had done a classic bear trap and sucked everybody in. Our expectation was to stay net long and our picks from our blog this past week was right on the money - Euro rallied, Gold rallied, Oil rallied and the Fed will keep blowing bubbles till it learns a lesson it will never forget - till then keep partying.

We mentioned the XLU, SO, PCG, LLY and BIDU in our blog this past week and as part of our holdings - all of these stocks rallied hard today - staying long and going long more on BIDU or LLY..

Here are the charts:

www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=LLY


www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=BIDU


www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=XLU


www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SO


www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=PCG

Good luck trading. 

Founder/CEO
Trucharts.com

Trucharts.com Blog - week ending 2/13/2015 and Stocks to Watch

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 2/13/2015

Happy Valentine’s day to all and after a short travel hiatus, we are back to writing our blog. Due to blogging restrictions in China, we were unable to post to our G+, FB and blogger/WP. It feels weird when you cannot blog about just something simple as stocks. Anyway, it has been an exciting week after what we call a consolidation period in the markets. The S&P,NASDAQ and the DOW all hit an all time high – we were expecting the breakout based on the wedge pattern/descending triangle pattern that started in Nov. We expect this to move to last based on the recent earnings and the oil sector bouncing back. Gold pulled back and we expect gold to move down – we think the move up was due to the Chinese New Year. The Greek crisis is just noise and we do not expect this to impact the markets. Oil is in a bottoming phase and we will watch this closely – our picks LINE, USO and OIL jumped very nicely (over 30% for LINE and OIL etf), our GM short and F short will be rolled over to next month. We expect this to be a peak year for auto sales. Our pick CYBR did very well as did TWTR – both of these are up over 40% CYBR and 20% TWTR since our calls and check out the buy signal for CYBR on our buy/sell strategy chart below:

Check the Chaikin money flow Index on the bottom of the chart – it went negative when the stock gapped up on Friday. Based on our technical analysis, we would expect the stock to pull back/consolidate and make a move higher. The earnings were announced on Thursday after the close and the company crushed the earnings and guided higher.

CYBR _ WITH BUY/SELL SIGNALS

TWTR also reported good earnings and that moved higher and we are still expecting a move higher in TWTR. 

We went long ALTR based on the technicals. Here is the chart for ALTR. We will exit the position this week around 36.25 or better.

We went long AMKR, are long USO/LINE and are watching the following stocks closely next week:

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=VFC (which went buy signal right before the gap up)

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=PRU

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=COLM

Markets are closed for President’s day – Monday. Good luck trading and check out our multiple charts feature and also our real time categorized news feature.

We closed our position in K (Kellogg) right before it gapped down on Friday – looks like people are not eating enough cereal!!

Our call on DAL short was right on the money - we closed that position this week.

Trucharts Founder

Trucharts.com Market closing update - 1/28/2015

Free Stock Charts/ETFs/Dividend stocks at Trucharts.com: Auto Stock Buy/Sell signal strategies - check out our site - free 30d trial:

Well another down day after Fed speak and the techncial picture is getting weaker. Read this article - a very good read on the market technicals: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/too-already-bear-market-110124065.html.

We stated we never have our portoflio all long or all short. We were hedged but stayed with our shorts - GM, F, IBB and DAL. We closed our YHOO short early. Our long side of portfolio was hedged with covered calls and today's weak close was not a good sign. 

OIL is getting crushed and our USO position is not looking strong. We will hold on as the bearish sentiment on oil is growing day by day. We now expect that oil will go to 40 possibly. Gold was down and we are short AEM. 

The market has been going through a tug of war between the bulls and the bears and looks like right now the bulls are losing. Earnings have been mediocre and a few companies are either beating or rasing their forecasts. Majority of the forecasts have been down for this year. Well what this tells us is that the economy is going to see some challenges this year and the world economies are in for a challenge. 

The Greek anti-austerity party victory is driving up the Greek bond yields - expect some fire crackers from the Euro zone - what happens if Greece decides to break away from the Euro zone. Who is next? 

We still want to stay short GM, F and AEM. We will sit and wait tight with our USO position and average down when the dust is cleared. 2000 onthe S&P has been the line in the sand - we will have to watch this 2000 mark and see if the S&P can hold or break it.

AAPL stock was up today and YHOO pulled back - FB still looks like a great short - overvalued company.

Trucharts Blog Stock Charts Free - Week ending - 1/16/2015

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 1/16/2015. 

Happy MLK day - markets were closed today - but what a closing on Friday almost 8:2 advancers vs decliners on NYSE and NASDAQ - we suspect short covering rally and short term oversold conditions - but technically the markets look weak and we had a 13d SMA crossing the 50dSMA for the indices - we expect a bounce to the 50d SMA - we had a strong close and gold moving higher, along with oil. And then we had the Dutch cut their interest rates to -ve. SO we pay the banks money to hold cash - think about that for a second - you pay the bank to hold your money - wow!! Then there is the expectation that the ECB will unleash another round of QE - when are the idiots in the Eurozone get it through their thick skulls - QE does nothing in a heavily taxed and socialistic government structure - reduce taxes and act like Ronald Reagan and let's see what happens - really dumb people lining their pockets. So stupid.

Today China reported the GDP number - 7.4% and then yesterday the markets in China got crushed as China pricked the stock bubble by regulating margin accounts which were non-compliant to the capital requirements. Now everyone expects China to unleash another round of stimulus. The whole world and asset prices are now running on steroids - that is what I call QE and all these stimulus injections into the economy - eventually these will hurt and the central banks are scared shit. Gold is the real currency and there is now a currency war in play an oil glut and stocks/real estate in bubbles everywhere. We never seem to learn from our mistakes.

This will be the start of the earnings barrage week - check the earnings calendar on our site at: http://www.trucharts.com/EarningsView.aspx

We closed our ALTR calls last week - our call on ALTR short was correct.

DAL - we sold puts for Jan 30 for 44 strike - we are still short DA and the 44 puts, GM and F.

Our GM call spread for 34.5 and 36.5 expired worthless. Our stock K is doing well and we are long WSM, TWTR, CYBR, USO and ANV. We still like gold here because it broke through resistance and the Chinese New Year is in February.

Here are some good picks for the coming week -

XLU (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=XLU); Other stocks (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SO) - the utility stocks look good in this falling interest rate environment. Our call on HELE was good - still looks strong.

Chart of GRMN here below - looks good technically for a short term trade:

Trucharts.com - Free stocks and Scans - Markets Update and comments - 01/15/2015

Another down day and we stated in our blog and during the weekly commentary the up move looked like a bull trap and that the markets looked precarious. Earnings are not coming in as expected - and the high expectations were reflected in the high valuations and stock prices - it was like there would be no end in sight - markets were moving up on low volume into the end of the year. 

Stocks that do not look good are BBY (Best buy), INTC (Intel), FB (Facebook) - we shorted FB today. We went long gold miners today and we stated that these were looking strong over the weekend - the gold move up was primarily due to the down move for the USD and then the SNB announcement that the Swiss Franc peg to the Euro was no longer in play - that drove gold even higher - this tells us that the Euro is doomed and it will go to par with the USD. A lot of hedge funds exploded today due to the short position in the Swiss franc. 

We showed several stocks on our blog that exhibited weak technicals and were flashing sell signals in our weekly commentary on g+ and twitter (@trucharts). We are short IBB, GM, F, DAL and AEM. Long ANV, WSM, USO, LINE, K and BIS.

Click here to access the charts on our site: www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx

The markets for the short term have not bottomed yet and we should see some technical weakness into the earnings barrage next week. We would short BBY here and our next pick is LAD - we think the auto cycle has peaked and any stock dealing with the auto market is a short - especially dealers and manufacturers (GM, F are examples of stocks we are short). Here is the chart for LAD and it flashed a red sell signal yesterday:

Use our site for auto buy and sell signal strategy. You can save and make money using this excellent proprietary trading indicator. 

  

What a day!!! - closing remarks 1/13/2014

Well it sure felt like Friday the 13th today. Markets were up and then pulled back completely. We think it was a bull trap and people are very concerned about the upcoming earnings reports and forward guidance. With oil dropping and the commodity sector (at least for now except gold) falling - looks like there maybe some rough riding here. These type of moves happen when there is tug of war between the bears and the bulls. TIF (Tiffany got massacred yesterday) - Crappy stock SNDK got killed - they were getting the benefit of a bull market and we think the semiconductor run maybe over. Please take profits in this sector until the 2nd half of the year comes around. Technically, today was a bearish day - see chart below for DIA and SPY. You will see lower RSI , lower MACD and the DIA/SPY closed 50d SMA. ALmost looks like a bearish wedge pattern.

We think oil has reached the bottom of its range - we will watch it here carefully and try to establish a position in USO.

We hope to see some good results from the retailers - we will keep an eye on that.
We will close our ABBV position tomorrow - should have closed it today.

We are long AMKR,WSM,K,CYBR,USO and LINE. Short GM,F,AEM,DAL,IBB. We always hedge our portfolio with options and not be all long or all short.




Check out our site and you can clearly see our auto buy/sell signals for your stocks.
GPRO and MU were on the sell signal list 4-5 days ago.

Trucharts team

Trucharts.com - Blog and stocks to watch week ending - 01/09/2015

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 01/09/2015 - HELE, TWTR, SCO, USO

What a volatile first trading week of the year. We were negative for the year and then after the huge move up with the VIX above 20 - traders came in drove the market up over 500 points. And then on Friday we had the consolidating pull back. Even stocks like MU which guided lower revenue forecast to the analyst estimates for Q1 rallied after falling sharply. There was expectation that EU zone will unleash a QE and with nterest rates going negative in some of the EU countries - the markets rallied. In addition, we still have the Russian ruble crisis and the oil drop is definitely hurting the Russian economy, and the Venezuelan economy. The talking voices and experts on TV keep telling us that the drop in oil is due to lower demand and supply glut - I call that complete BS. This drop in oil is a politically driven - there is no way oil can drop 50% unless economies around the world are crashing - it is like saying 50% of the cars and oil consumers around the world suddenly stopped driving and the oil supply jumped by 100% - does this this sound reasonable at all. I believe oil will stabilize around 45 and move up to 70 from this very oversold rally - keep an eye on SCO the oil short ETF which is very extended - we woud look to buy puts on this ETF - check out the chart - www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SCO. 

We are long USO, LINE and look to go longer in oil stocks or ETFs. We will wait for the signal. There is too much negative sentiment on oil. Surprisingly - gold and gold stocks and gold ETFs moved up last week - we think this was driven by a run to safety and the falling dollar from the extended move up.

During the rally, Advancers vs Decliners was almost 8:2 on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. Here are the numbers for the A/D and volume from Friday close:

Advances & Declines

	NYSE	AMEX	NASDAQ
Advancing Issues	1,163 (36%)	202 (50%)	913 (33%)
Declining Issues	1,975 (61%)	187 (46%)	1,785 (64%)
Unchanged Issues	92 (3%)	15 (4%)	101 (4%)
Total Issues	3,230	404	2,799
New Highs	152	11	77
New Lows	63	8	54
Up Volume	985,074,941 (29%)	52,720,491 (60%)	606,206,477 (36%)
Down Volume	2,335,614,656 (69%)	32,671,019 (37%)	1,034,281,930 (62%)
Unchanged Volume	49,081,860 (1%)	2,604,305 (3%)	24,354,296 (1%)
Total Volume	3,369,771,4571	87,995,8151	1,664,842,7031

This week is start of earnings week with AA (Aloca reporting tomorrow) - check the earnings calendar on our site at: www.trucharts.com/earningsview.aspx.

Here is an excellent article on the PE and the markets this week:http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-10/permabull-throws-towel-stocks-are-massively-overvalued-key-multiples-are-post-war-re

This article tells us that we are at a critical juncture in the markets - we highly 

recommend taking some profits.

Another article: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-12/this-guy-called-bonds-in-14-you-listening-this-time-.html?cmpid=yhoo

On our stockview page - you can see the earnings date on the top right hand side of the data box for any particular symbol. We closed our YHOO position last week and we have been watching and keeping an eye on the utility stocks. The financial stocks like BAC and others pulled back - we have no positions in these stocks.

Our long positions are AMKR, USO, LINE, WSM, CYBR, K, and TWTR. Our short positions are GM,F,IBB,DAL.

We like the following stocks for next week:

TWTR - we think the rumors of a buyout are driving the stock higher - we went long on Friday - here is the chart: Charts:

  

Trucharts.com Weekly blog - stocks to watch week ending 01/02/2015

Trucharts.com Weekly blog week ending 01/02/2015

For SEO: Stock Charts Free, Charting, Stock Market, Technical Analysis, Stock Blog, Stock Buy and Sell Signals.

Happy New Year 2015 to all:

Market Stats:                     DOW 17832.99; S&P500: 2058.20; NASDAQ: 4726.81

	NYSE	Amex	NASDAQ
New Highs	55	5	64
New Lows	23	5	31
Up Volume	1,317,747,081 (49%)	54,149,125 (72%)	640,070,736 (47%)
Down Volume	1,361,184,794 (50%)	18,108,068 (24%)	714,790,713 (52%)
Unchanged Volume	31,963,947 (1%)	2,449,256 (3%)	11,961,935 (1%)
Total Volume	2,710,895,822	74,706,449	1,366,823,384

New Year and new resolutions - I am sure Yellen and the Fed have their resolutions already in place - we think there resolution is keep economy on track and no need to raise rates - the dollar strength and weakening economies around the world will bolster the demand for US $ and US bonds - we do not see the bond bubble imploding (at keast yet). Seeing the oil collapse and the Russian ruble collapse is making the US dollar gain more strength and we suspect the Chinese RMB will get weaker - with the Chinese economy slowing - the Chinese will have no choice but to allow the RMB to weaken and make their exports competitive and with the Chinese economy driven by exports to EU and other nations with weakening currencies and economies - the RMB has to fall further. That is our prediction for 2015 - what does this do to gold - with energy prices down we expect gold to drop also - but we will have to keep an eye on this - gold may also become the currency of choice - a tricky catch 22 situation. Oil drop is, we believe, a political driven drop and maybe mixed in with a hint of over-supply. This is affecting major economies like Russia, Venezuela and other major oil-producing nations. We expect oil to be range bound between $45-$70. We went long USO and LINE this week.  The economies of US states like Texas, Oklahoma, ND will be affected by this drop in oil price - we will have to see the impact.

Fed action - we do not expect any rate hikes this year as we stated earlier.

Stock bubbles and valuations - There is no doubt we are in a stock bubble - the accounting shenanigans, stock buybacks help moved the stock prices and earnings. Many stocks and sectors are trading at above average PEs - with the Fed holding back on raising rates, we expect stocks to possibly rise this year as there are almost no alternatives to make a decent return. Stocks look extended short-term and we expect a pullback here and will have to keep a close eye on the earnings and forward forecasts for Q1. Semi stocks were downgraded last qtr by BofA Merrill Lynch and this a sign that the semi stocks have had a nice long bull run and we would expect a pullback. Keep an eye on the following stocks SWKS, TXN, ALTR, XLXN, SYNA, MXIM, SIMO etc.

VC funding and company valuations are still outrageous and it smells a lot like 1999.

We also expect major dividend cuts from the energy sector stocks - so please keep a close eye on your small to mid-sized oil and energy stocks with current high payout and high dividend payments - these will definitely impact the stocks prices.

Consumer staple stocks and retail stocks are holding up well and we expect the retail sector to show decent earnings. There have not been any major warnings to date - with the gas prices at the pump dropping, we expect that consumers used this opportunity to spend more on gifts etc during this Christmas season.

Utility stocks had a huge run due to the drop in bond yields and we need to keep an eye on these - there was pullback on Friday - but we expect that this sector will still be strong this year unless there is a bond rout.

We added a new feature to our stock site: Multiple stocks charts on one page - check this link: www.trucharts.com/multiplestocks.aspx.

We additionally added Ichimoku cloud and turtle trading system - these are available on the www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx.

We will be publishing the definitions and charts for all the indicators on our site soon.

Check out this stock LINE which we went long for a short term trade: www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=LINE.

Gold miner stocks were up on Friday - keep an eye on GDX, GDXJ.

Trucharts positions: Short GM (due to recall), technically stock extended, ALTR, DAL, IBB, AEM. Long USO, CYBR, WSM, K, HMY, LINE.

Best of luck for 2015 and use our site for auto buy/sell signal strategies and as we keep making improvements, we will keep you posted.

Thanks and please help us spread the word - our subscription price is one of the lowest and best in the industry for the type of information we provide to our users and if you have any ideas for improvements or information you would like us to add, please email our CEO and founder directly at bbhatia@trucharts.com - we look forward to your comments and feedback.

Trucharts Team

Trucharts.com - Stocks to watch and Marlets blog week ending 12/26/2014

Trucharts.com Markets Update Blog week ending 12/26/2014:

Well now we have the New Year week coming up and markets keep making record new highs. This is the highest number of new record highs hit in one year. DOW and S&P500 are still trending higher. Keep an eye on the 13 and 15 week moving averages for the stock indices and the stocks - these are very critical - you can check these on our site when you click on the week option for period on the stockview.aspx page (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx). There was record amount of money put into stock ETFs this past week - check this article - http://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-based-stock-funds-attract-001225961.html; There are technical indicators that look weak - like lower RSI and lower MACD on higher highs - but these are not necessarily pointing to any pullback at the present time. We are still in a seasonally strong period for equities and heading into a New Year - we do not see anything other than some minor pullbacks as we head into the earnings season. Oil seems to be trying to find a bottom here; gold bounced on Friday - we will keep an eye on this - specially due to the turmoil in the currency market in Eastern Europe (including Russia). 

We are long USO, AMKR and short AEM. Our target for gold is still 1000. There are several stocks that look strong - here are th symbols and charts -AAPL and more. We are looking to go long AAPL this week. The rules are very simple - DO NOT FIGHT THE FED and STAY WITH THE TREND. Now the Yellen put is in place and everyone does not epect any major change in the Fed' stance this comng year (till at least middle of 2015) - companies revenues are not growing based on the P/E multiples - yet these stocks keep moving higher - the average PE is being stated as low and this is happening based on significant stock buy backs being used by companies to boost their earnings and EPS. But none of these matter, since the belief is that stocks will just keep moving higher. We will stay with the trend until it breaks - (Ms Yellen (Ms Clause) will come save the day).

Here are some other symbols to watch this coming week:

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=DDD

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SSYS

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=AMZN

For full disclosure - we are long AMKR, WSM, BIS, CYBR, K and short ALTR, DAL, YHOO, AEM (will close YHOO this week).

We added a special new feature on our site - check it out at: http://www.trucharts.com/multiplestockcharts.aspx (mulitple charts on one page)

Some good reading material: (ADDED ANOTHER GOOD ARTICLE)

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-12-28/line-between-rational-speculation-and-market-collapse

http://www.businessinsider.com/long-term-stock-chart-pe-ratio-2014-10   <<---- added="" br="">

Here is the picture of how to use and access help on our website with any page.

Check out our special subscription offer - no more monthly recurring fees - just $90 for the full year (50% discount)- here is the link: http://www.trucharts.com/truCharts_Services.aspx

Happy New Year to all - and good luck with trading in the New Year.

Trucharts Team