How to trade this week after the bad jobs report?

Trucharts.com - Blog - Easter Weekend - Stock Charts Free - and more.

How to trade post Easter and what to expect?

We talked about the horrendous job reports we got on Friday in our last blog update - just a reminder the reports showed 126K jobs created vs the expectations of 226K. Futures dropped on the news and the USD dropped - gold rallied and then we had oil rallying this weekend with the Saudi's raising the price of oil to the Asian nations because of demand. In addition, we have the nuclear deal with Iran and then the war going on in Yemen - this is definitely going to impact the oil price volatility. Gold is up today over $12+.

The talking heads on TV are already trying to predict the Fed's move in Q3 and we still expect that the Fed will raise rates in Q3 unless the jobs report stays below 150K. With summer coming, we expect the jobs report to improve going forward. 

Futures are down this evening (DOW futures down -115) after recovering from a 200 point drop and everyone is already trying to predict whether the Fed is going to hold off on raising rates based on one jobs report (which we think is a blip) and should resume an upward trend next month. The weather did have an impact and we suspect hiring in the oil sector was down. 

We indicated that the earnings news has not been very encouraging and we expect that the forecast for the tech sector for Q2 will not be strong. With INTC and SNDK lowering revenue forecasts, we expect numbers to be coming down in the tech sector - recommend taking profits in this sector. We are looking to short TSM and SPIL.

Since we now have to wait till the next jobs report, we expect that bonds will rally here and yields will drop and this will help the utility and dividend paying stocks to shine at least for the short term, in addition to retail/housing stocks. We like the following stocks:

MO - (we are long) www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=MO
RAI - www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=RAI
LO - www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=LO
M - www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=M
PHM - www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=PHM

We are short SNDK, and long USO, BIDU, MO, TWTR. We still like TWTR and you can also check out our predefined scans report on our site at www.trucharts.com/marketreports.aspx.

Also check out our special subscription deals for complete access to our site at:
www.trucharts.com/charts_services.aspx

Good luck trading.

Trucharts Team

Are you buying or selling? We are selling..

Trucharts.com - Free Stock charts - MACD charts & Technical Analysis

Markets pulled back today giving up most of the wonderful gains yesterday - a bull trap. We stated to take profits in the rally and hedge your positions. We are heading into earnings season and be ready for some nasty surprises from the tech sector for Q2 earnings, and energy sector earnings. Gold has been dropping and oil has been pushed down to a potential nuclear agreement with Iran and what this will do the current glut situation. Biotech stocks were getting clobbered today and we think this is profit taking in this sector by the mutual funds for end of quarter performance numbers. The biotech sector has been moving up in an exponential fashion and we are still short IBB. Be prepared - we are already in the sixth year of this bull market and expect a pullback and maybe a meaningful is coming. Check out our automated trading strategies on our site to see if your stock is on a buy/sell signal. We are long TWTR. and short SMH.

In addition, we are recommending selling AAPL. 

UPDATED:

Read this: Our theory of a top forming.


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-31/april-anxiety-75-year-itch

Trucharts Team

Weekly Stock Blog 03/13/15 - Stocks to Watch and some good reads - Trucharts.com

Trucharts.com - Weekly Blog ending 03/13/15 - Good reads and Hot Stocks to watch

Sorry for the late posting - had some family obligations to tend to. 

What an amazing week in the markets - very volatile moves up and down - sounds like a roller coaster to me. We stated in our previous blog that the range would be between 2080 and 2050 for the SP500 and that is what we saw this past week. The markets rallied today and the resistance in the SP500 was expected to be 2080 and the DOW resistance around 18000 which is right at the 13d moving average. We will have to wait and see if the markets can break above this range now or will it consolidate or see a breakdown. 

With the BIGGEST news this week expected to be the Fed view on future interest rates - this is expected on Wednesday - economists are split evenly on what the Fed will do and we think that the Fed will stay put on rates till Fall or September knowing that the inflation pressures are muted due to the fall in oil prices. With the strong dollar and negative rates in the Eurozone, we do not see how the Fed will move to raise rates - the only concern on the Fed's mind will be asset bubbles in real estate and stocks. 

Here are some very good articles and reads for Fed interest rates:

1. Has the Fed's 'patience' been exhausted?
2. Investors in 'patient panic' over Fed language

Markets rallied today due to the USD pulling back from an extended move up - but we still like the USD - euro is headed lower and we think this may be a short term pullback into a bullish move in the USD. Again, we would expect to see a move after the Fed's comment on Wednesday on interest rates.

Let us take a look at some of the commodities - oil hit a new low today and is heading to our target price of $40 - the oil stocks bounced today - maybe a sign of some bottom in the oil sector - especially knowing that we are heading into the summer season. Keep an eye on the oil sector stocks.

We are long USO and short the calls against our position.

Gold is languishing here pending the Fed's view on rates and is still looking weak. Wait and watch.

We are short AEM (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=AEM).

We have been watching the Utilities sector stocks (XLU - ETF) as this sector has corrected over 20% due to the move up in yields and move down in bonds, and the move up in USD. We discussed this sector over the weekend in our meetup and pointed to stocks as (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SO), and (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=PCG) - these moved up over 2% today. XLU is looking strong at the close of markets today.

We went long SO today and are long BIDU, USO, TWTR, BOX, Z, ANGI and LLY.  We are short UAL. Looking to go long AMGN.

The pharmaceutical sector - especially the BIOTECH sector took off again today - due to news from AMGN and Sanofi on the cholesterol drug findings - http://www.marketwatch.com/story/amgen-other-drug-company-shares-jump-on-cholesterol-drug-findings-2015-03-16?siteid=yhoof2. AMGN closed strong today and we like the stock. BMY broke out and LLY is also looking strong. Here are the charts:

The tech sector looks interesting - we are very concerned after the INTC (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=INTC) news of a lower revenue forecast. 

We expect that MSFT will also be impacted by this news as will the component suppliers to the the PC sector. There are some stocks that look very extended - NXPI, AVGO and SWKS.

Here are some other articles for reading:

1. Confessions of a used-car dealer: The six myths about my job

2. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-11/we-have-grandstand-seats-imminent-market-shock-hedge-fund-billionaire-warns

3. Global currency wars are threatening a Lehman-style crisis

Good luck trading.

Trucharts team

  

Markets Rallied Hard today and here are the reasons why

Free Stock Charts - Trucharts.com - Auto Buy/Sell Signal Strategies -

Markets rallied hard today - this was due to several factors:

1. VIX was up for the past few days

2. Dollar had rallied significantly in the past few weeks and was due for a pullback. 

3. Euro rallied from an oversold condition - but this move up will be short lived with the current negative interest rate environment in the Eurozone

4. Retail Sales were down and that inspired the bulls to think that the Fed would be refrained from raising rates in June

5. Health Stocks and utility stocks were looking oversold and therefore there was a good bounce - we expect a test of 2025 on the SP500 and we went long BIDU today with a covered call strategy - we discussed this strategy in our blog yesterday.

• Check out our site for auto buy and sell signals for any stock, check out our real time news feature for before and after hours news and updates. We have technical mouseover charts for very quick technical analysis on our reports and earnings page.

Good Luck Trading.

Trucharts team 

Trucharts.com Blog - week ending 2/13/2015 and Stocks to Watch

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 2/13/2015

Happy Valentine’s day to all and after a short travel hiatus, we are back to writing our blog. Due to blogging restrictions in China, we were unable to post to our G+, FB and blogger/WP. It feels weird when you cannot blog about just something simple as stocks. Anyway, it has been an exciting week after what we call a consolidation period in the markets. The S&P,NASDAQ and the DOW all hit an all time high – we were expecting the breakout based on the wedge pattern/descending triangle pattern that started in Nov. We expect this to move to last based on the recent earnings and the oil sector bouncing back. Gold pulled back and we expect gold to move down – we think the move up was due to the Chinese New Year. The Greek crisis is just noise and we do not expect this to impact the markets. Oil is in a bottoming phase and we will watch this closely – our picks LINE, USO and OIL jumped very nicely (over 30% for LINE and OIL etf), our GM short and F short will be rolled over to next month. We expect this to be a peak year for auto sales. Our pick CYBR did very well as did TWTR – both of these are up over 40% CYBR and 20% TWTR since our calls and check out the buy signal for CYBR on our buy/sell strategy chart below:

Check the Chaikin money flow Index on the bottom of the chart – it went negative when the stock gapped up on Friday. Based on our technical analysis, we would expect the stock to pull back/consolidate and make a move higher. The earnings were announced on Thursday after the close and the company crushed the earnings and guided higher.

CYBR _ WITH BUY/SELL SIGNALS

TWTR also reported good earnings and that moved higher and we are still expecting a move higher in TWTR. 

We went long ALTR based on the technicals. Here is the chart for ALTR. We will exit the position this week around 36.25 or better.

We went long AMKR, are long USO/LINE and are watching the following stocks closely next week:

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=VFC (which went buy signal right before the gap up)

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=PRU

http://www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=COLM

Markets are closed for President’s day – Monday. Good luck trading and check out our multiple charts feature and also our real time categorized news feature.

We closed our position in K (Kellogg) right before it gapped down on Friday – looks like people are not eating enough cereal!!

Our call on DAL short was right on the money - we closed that position this week.

Trucharts Founder

HOT STOCKS and AUTO BUY/SELL SIGNALS at TRUCHARTS.com

Check this out:

Stock Charts Free at Trucharts.com and Auto Buy/Sell signals: Check out our pick CYBR from our blog it is up over $7.5 in after hours and check out the buy signal generated on our site for this stock: (Truly awesome)

Trucharts.com Market closing update - 1/28/2015

Free Stock Charts/ETFs/Dividend stocks at Trucharts.com: Auto Stock Buy/Sell signal strategies - check out our site - free 30d trial:

Well another down day after Fed speak and the techncial picture is getting weaker. Read this article - a very good read on the market technicals: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/too-already-bear-market-110124065.html.

We stated we never have our portoflio all long or all short. We were hedged but stayed with our shorts - GM, F, IBB and DAL. We closed our YHOO short early. Our long side of portfolio was hedged with covered calls and today's weak close was not a good sign. 

OIL is getting crushed and our USO position is not looking strong. We will hold on as the bearish sentiment on oil is growing day by day. We now expect that oil will go to 40 possibly. Gold was down and we are short AEM. 

The market has been going through a tug of war between the bulls and the bears and looks like right now the bulls are losing. Earnings have been mediocre and a few companies are either beating or rasing their forecasts. Majority of the forecasts have been down for this year. Well what this tells us is that the economy is going to see some challenges this year and the world economies are in for a challenge. 

The Greek anti-austerity party victory is driving up the Greek bond yields - expect some fire crackers from the Euro zone - what happens if Greece decides to break away from the Euro zone. Who is next? 

We still want to stay short GM, F and AEM. We will sit and wait tight with our USO position and average down when the dust is cleared. 2000 onthe S&P has been the line in the sand - we will have to watch this 2000 mark and see if the S&P can hold or break it.

AAPL stock was up today and YHOO pulled back - FB still looks like a great short - overvalued company.

Trucharts.com Hot Stocks and Stocks to watch - Weekly Blog update - week ending 1/23/2015

Trucharts.com Weekly Blog update - week ending 1/23/2015

A shortened week and the Draghi moment on Thursday when the markets were up nicely after another round of QE was announced 1 Trillion Euros – all central banks are printing money and there is no stopping – low interest rates (negative in the Eurozone) and then we have stock bubbles and ZIRP in US is showing up as bubbles in stock valuations and real estate. We do not expect the Fed to do anything this year on the Fed Funds rate and Draghi is bent on destroying the Euro (which incidentally is at 1.115 to the USD) – now European vacations are going to be lot cheaper. And then we had the Greek election and the drum roll please !!! – the anti austerity party won the elections – what a surprise!! Are the Greeks going back to the drachma??

Enough politics – what does this do to the markets – the move up on Thursday was a big move and the move down on Friday looked like a consolidation move and the trend is still intact – the RSI and MACD is moving higher and we think oil is vacillating within a tight range, and gold is also consolidating. Keep an eye on gold and oil. There are over 1300 companies reporting earnings this week. AAPL is on top of the list and as are many big names. Check out the earnings calendar on our site at:http://www.trucharts.com/earningsview.aspx and also we provide the earnings date for any stock on the stock charts page. Futures are pointing to a lower open, but we expect the AAPL earnings maybe the catalyst and Fed speak is what is going to drive the markets.

We are short GM, F, IBB, DAL (sold some puts also)  and long USO, WSM, K, CYBR, LINE and went long BOX on Friday. Our ALTR short was a good call and GM calls expired. Our Trucharts.com BUY/SELL strategies are working well and we are using these to make trade decisions along with watching the technicals closely. There will be a lot of noise during the earnings season, so be watchful. Here are some stocks we like: K, and the list below – futures are down this morning – so be careful with your entry and keep tight stops – the trend is still up and we think until the Fed speaks we may see some volatility.

BABA	104.0200	105.2000	103.0200	103.1100	104.0000	9847987
CME	88.5000	88.9400	87.6800	88.5100	88.5700	1058695
EBAY	56.9900	57.2800	56.3100	56.7600	57.1500	13357022
ETFC	23.9000	24.9700	23.7800	24.5600	22.6500	12271579
EXPE	84.3300	88.6500	84.1400	87.4400	85.7100	3679708
HON	101.1100	103.9200	100.5000	102.4100	99.3900	5209857
HPQ	39.9600	40.2500	39.7600	40.1000	40.0600	6171057
IWM	118.3400	118.7700	117.5500	118.1300	118.2000	26223219
MNKD	5.5900	5.8000	5.5100	5.7400	5.5700	4143225
NOW	66.5900	69.5000	66.5500	68.7400	66.1400	1015475
SNPS	43.2000	43.8500	42.9000	43.5300	43.1700	448589
VLO	48.1500	50.9000	47.7400	50.1600	48.0000	11559865

Check our Reports section for many other picks in the MACD bullish crossover reports and others.

Please spread the word and invite your friends to use the site and take advantage of out recommendations and site features.

Trucharts CEO and Founder

Bob Bhatia

Trucharts.com - NFLX and JAZZ buy signals - check this out

Free Stock Charts, Auto Buy/Sell Signals - Trucharts.com:

Market closed up today - we had a 7:3 advances to decliners on the NYSE. NASDAQ and Amex were almost even advances to decliners. S&P closed almost at the highs and then there was NFLX - probably caught a lot of folks short in this position covering their positions - but the numbers for NFLX were strong and we believe this stock (even though expensive) is going higher. Check out these very interesting charts below. On both these stocks JAZZ and NFLX our trading strategy generated BUY signals yesterday - this strategy is a leading indicator and both stocks JAZZ and NFLX were up today strongly. This feature can be accessed on our site on the stock charts page. The link is www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx - look under Trucharts Trading Strategies under the chart. Amazing buy signals.

Trucharts Blog Stock Charts Free - Week ending - 1/16/2015

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 1/16/2015. 

Happy MLK day - markets were closed today - but what a closing on Friday almost 8:2 advancers vs decliners on NYSE and NASDAQ - we suspect short covering rally and short term oversold conditions - but technically the markets look weak and we had a 13d SMA crossing the 50dSMA for the indices - we expect a bounce to the 50d SMA - we had a strong close and gold moving higher, along with oil. And then we had the Dutch cut their interest rates to -ve. SO we pay the banks money to hold cash - think about that for a second - you pay the bank to hold your money - wow!! Then there is the expectation that the ECB will unleash another round of QE - when are the idiots in the Eurozone get it through their thick skulls - QE does nothing in a heavily taxed and socialistic government structure - reduce taxes and act like Ronald Reagan and let's see what happens - really dumb people lining their pockets. So stupid.

Today China reported the GDP number - 7.4% and then yesterday the markets in China got crushed as China pricked the stock bubble by regulating margin accounts which were non-compliant to the capital requirements. Now everyone expects China to unleash another round of stimulus. The whole world and asset prices are now running on steroids - that is what I call QE and all these stimulus injections into the economy - eventually these will hurt and the central banks are scared shit. Gold is the real currency and there is now a currency war in play an oil glut and stocks/real estate in bubbles everywhere. We never seem to learn from our mistakes.

This will be the start of the earnings barrage week - check the earnings calendar on our site at: http://www.trucharts.com/EarningsView.aspx

We closed our ALTR calls last week - our call on ALTR short was correct.

DAL - we sold puts for Jan 30 for 44 strike - we are still short DA and the 44 puts, GM and F.

Our GM call spread for 34.5 and 36.5 expired worthless. Our stock K is doing well and we are long WSM, TWTR, CYBR, USO and ANV. We still like gold here because it broke through resistance and the Chinese New Year is in February.

Here are some good picks for the coming week -

XLU (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=XLU); Other stocks (www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx?TICK=SO) - the utility stocks look good in this falling interest rate environment. Our call on HELE was good - still looks strong.

Chart of GRMN here below - looks good technically for a short term trade:

Trucharts.com - Free stocks and Scans - Markets Update and comments - 01/15/2015

Another down day and we stated in our blog and during the weekly commentary the up move looked like a bull trap and that the markets looked precarious. Earnings are not coming in as expected - and the high expectations were reflected in the high valuations and stock prices - it was like there would be no end in sight - markets were moving up on low volume into the end of the year. 

Stocks that do not look good are BBY (Best buy), INTC (Intel), FB (Facebook) - we shorted FB today. We went long gold miners today and we stated that these were looking strong over the weekend - the gold move up was primarily due to the down move for the USD and then the SNB announcement that the Swiss Franc peg to the Euro was no longer in play - that drove gold even higher - this tells us that the Euro is doomed and it will go to par with the USD. A lot of hedge funds exploded today due to the short position in the Swiss franc. 

We showed several stocks on our blog that exhibited weak technicals and were flashing sell signals in our weekly commentary on g+ and twitter (@trucharts). We are short IBB, GM, F, DAL and AEM. Long ANV, WSM, USO, LINE, K and BIS.

Click here to access the charts on our site: www.trucharts.com/stockview.aspx

The markets for the short term have not bottomed yet and we should see some technical weakness into the earnings barrage next week. We would short BBY here and our next pick is LAD - we think the auto cycle has peaked and any stock dealing with the auto market is a short - especially dealers and manufacturers (GM, F are examples of stocks we are short). Here is the chart for LAD and it flashed a red sell signal yesterday:

Use our site for auto buy and sell signal strategy. You can save and make money using this excellent proprietary trading indicator. 

  

What a day!!! - closing remarks 1/13/2014

Well it sure felt like Friday the 13th today. Markets were up and then pulled back completely. We think it was a bull trap and people are very concerned about the upcoming earnings reports and forward guidance. With oil dropping and the commodity sector (at least for now except gold) falling - looks like there maybe some rough riding here. These type of moves happen when there is tug of war between the bears and the bulls. TIF (Tiffany got massacred yesterday) - Crappy stock SNDK got killed - they were getting the benefit of a bull market and we think the semiconductor run maybe over. Please take profits in this sector until the 2nd half of the year comes around. Technically, today was a bearish day - see chart below for DIA and SPY. You will see lower RSI , lower MACD and the DIA/SPY closed 50d SMA. ALmost looks like a bearish wedge pattern.

We think oil has reached the bottom of its range - we will watch it here carefully and try to establish a position in USO.

We hope to see some good results from the retailers - we will keep an eye on that.
We will close our ABBV position tomorrow - should have closed it today.

We are long AMKR,WSM,K,CYBR,USO and LINE. Short GM,F,AEM,DAL,IBB. We always hedge our portfolio with options and not be all long or all short.




Check out our site and you can clearly see our auto buy/sell signals for your stocks.
GPRO and MU were on the sell signal list 4-5 days ago.

Trucharts team

Trucharts.com Blog week ending 12/12/2014

Trucharts.com Blog Week ending 12/12/2014

We expected the markets to hit 18000 for the DOW and 2100 for the S&P500. It came close but did not touch these milestones. We stated that the markets were looking extended and that the risk was high - that scenario played itself out this past week. The breakdown in oil and the commodity complex was not surprising. We expect oil to hit between 50 and 55 - that would be more than a 50% correction and we expect some bottoming in that range. The commodity 15 year bull cycle may be coming to an end. Stocks looked extremely extended and one of our sentiment charts was showing that a puulback was imminent. Check out this chart which had predicted prior pullbacks - it is the chart of the stocks below their 50d SMA vs S&P500 - check this chart below:

You can see in the chart above how the trend for the stocks above 50d SMA is trending down even when the market is hitting new highs. This is evident in both the charts for stocks on the NYSE and NASDAQ. It does not appear that this has bottomed. We should keep an eye on this indicator on ur reports page under "Charts" at .

We expect volatility to be up this week and the S&P to touch the 50D SMA at 2000 and we have to see if the buyers jump in. The DIA has it's 50D SMA at 172.4 - we would like to see if this bounces back. The megaphone pattern in the indices is lookign evident - but then we have to wait and watch - if that does play out then the S&P500 has to break below it's previous low on the prior corrction in October. 

Fortunately for our portfolio, we followed our charting buy/sell signal strategies and closed positions in SDRL (down over 50% from our sell price), RIG, USO (all oil related). We stated shorting GM - still looks like a good short - in addition we had shown the chart for FCX as short in our last blog. We are short ALTR, IBB, DAL, YHOO and long BIS, WSM. We have hedged our positions with puts and calls. Although we see opportunity oin shorting AA - we will wait and watch since we are over exposed to shorts currently. 

Good luck trading next week.

Trucharts team 

Trucharts Post thanksgiving blog update - week ending 11/28/2014

Trucharts Blog week ending 11/28/2014

Well what a Thanksgiving week this was. New records were set and the S&P500 had a close over it's 5d SMA for 30 consecutive trading days - a new record. Stocks closed positive for the week and then we had the energy complex stocks getting completely crushed after the OPEC announcement from Saudi Arabia - no production cuts and crude oil suffered one of the biggest drops since 2008. In line with this drop, the other commodities got crushed - gold down, copper down etc., and the big rail stocks also dropped. We indicated that, we think, this was a political move by Saudi Arabia, pressured by US, to put the pressure on Russia and Iran - whose biggest revenue comes from oil exports. Obviously this is bad for all oil producing countries and good for possibly some oil importing countries like India/Japan and others. It will help reduce their account deficits and should be good for the consumer. Tech stocks, biotech and health care stocks did well - but then pulled back at the end of the week. We think the markets are definitely extended here and the move up has been nothing short of being historical. The ISEE P/C ratio closed at 74 on Friday and we expect the markets to pull back this week. We will very likely see a drop in the commodity stocks and the energy stocks. We expect that the drop in energy prices will definitely impact the local economies of Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, North Dakota and the shale producers. Expect gold to drop to $1000 and below. We are staying short the gold miners that are still overpriced relative to their peers. Short AEM.

Biotech stocks are definitely in bubble state and it is not clear how long this will last. We are seeing some cracks but not there yet. Market breadth is narrow - meaning that the number of stocks moving up by sector is narrow. Consumer retail stocks should do well with oil prices dropping. GM was up - but we think this will be shortlived - auto subprime loans hit a new historical high and auto inventory for GM dealers is also very high. Along with the issues with the ignition switches, this will impact their bottom line. We are going to watch this one closely and wait for the right moment to short.

We are long QIHU, CYBR, YELP, WSM, BIS, and short AEM, DAL (with tight stops) and IBB.

Below is the link for some good reading this week - a good article on the markets and their direction.

http://www.businessinsider.com/long-term-stock-chart-pe-ratio-2014-10

Another very interesting article on the nature of of US consumption and our values:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-29/best-slave-slave-doesnt-know-hes-slave-america-today-4-pictures

Here are some charts for your enjoyment (all montly) we would short the XLE based on monthly chart:

Trucharts.com – Weekly blog update and Stocks to Watch week ending 11/21/2014

Weekly Blog Update – Week ending 11/21/2014

Another week and another set of new highs in all the indices – PBOC cutting rates set off a rally in the markets Friday and the world central banks pumping heavy liquidity is driving markets higher.  The US markets are the sole investment for the world investors for the best returns. Stock markets and stocks are trending higher without a hint of any correction or pullback. We stated that the trend was higher going into the holiday season, and we expect that to continue or for the markets to be range bound.  There was a breakout in the S&P500 and the major indices this past week and even though the markets appear over bought – this can last into the New Year.  The pattern on the chart indicates higher highs are coming and there is major complacency in the markets.  But typically we do not expect to see any major issues due to the strong Q4 tendencies.  Certain sectors were sparked due to the PBOC cut – like the commodity sector, machinery sector and the emerging market ETFs.

We are seeing oil bouncing back, and we will short the airline stocks this week for a short term trade.  Gold bounced back last week but the trend is still down.  We will be watching the gold and oil sector this week. Some of the ETFs we mentioned OIL and USO are coming off lows and the energy stocks, which were hammered recently are bouncing back. Keep an eye on these oil sector stocks – NOV, NBR, DO, CVX and many others in the energy complex.

We are long WSM, CYBR, YELP and short AEM, IBB and waiting to short the airlines sector this week.  This will be a short trading week but expect consolidation and range bound markets.  Here are some charts to ponder over this week. You can see clearly the UPRO (long SP500 ETF) is very overbought and the DAL chart is breaking down.

Charts for the week: